Working prototype · public retailer compliance rules · retailer OTIF penalty exposure
The retailer fine your fill rate controls, line by line.
Walmart and Target score every inbound PO line for on-time and in-full, and deduct on every line that misses. OTIF Radar reads a book of inbound lines against the real published thresholds, scores the penalty exposure 1 to 99, and names the single execution lever that recovers the most dollars.
This is not a margin retrospective. It is a forward read on a number supply chain owns outright: the deduction is keyed to fill rate, on-time %, and must-arrive-by-date, and the failure points (carrier booking, dock appointments, short ships, allocation) are all yours. Pick a delivery week: the console scores it against Walmart's published 90 / 98 / 95% goals and the 3% penalty, and shows which lever moves the meter. PO lines are synthetic and labelled; the rules are public.
01 · Score a delivery week
One click, one verdict.
Each preset loads a synthetic book of inbound PO lines into Walmart and Target for one delivery week. The verdict is computed live against the real published OTIF thresholds and the 3% penalty. Sliders are optional: open them only to push on the fill rate, the on-time rate, or the book size.
One click loads a delivery week. The rates and book size are optional to fine-tune.
Mattel · retailer OTIF exposure
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Operator moves at this band
Where the penalty comes from
Click a lever to see what fixing it alone recovers
The biggest bar is the lever to pull first. Click any lever to preview the recovered dollars.
The book, scored
A sample of this week's PO lines and how each scored
PO line
Retailer
Line value
On time
In full
Status
Tune the book optional · sliders
What this is and is not. The console reports the penalty dollars at risk on this week's delivered value, scored 1 to 99 against the published Walmart goals (Prepaid on-time 90%, Collect ready 98%, In-full 95%) and the 3% deduction. It deliberately stops short of claiming Mattel's actual fill rate or PO book: those are the internal inputs the production extension reads from the order and transportation systems. The synthetic lines are tuned to the structure of an inbound retail book, never to Mattel's real numbers.
02 · Sources & method
Every threshold, every rule.
Walmart OTIFWalmart's OTIF penalty is 3% of the value of goods delivered late, early, short, or mispackaged; it later split OTIF into separate on-time and in-full metrics while keeping the 3% deduction. Sources: Supply Chain Dive (2017-07-12) · Supply Chain Dive (2019-03-08)
Walmart goalsAs of 2024-02-01 the goals are Prepaid on-time 90%, Collect ready 98%, and an In-full 95% goal applied per merchandise alignment including Entertainment Toys and Seasonal. Source: SPS Commerce SupplierWiki (updated 2024-02-05)
CPG deductionsDeductions run 5% to 15% of gross sales in CPG, with 10% to 20% written off as unrecoverable, landing on net margins of only 3% to 5%. Source: Inmar (2025-09-24)
TargetTarget runs a parallel vendor-compliance regime scoring on-time delivery, in-full/fill rate, ASN accuracy, and routing-guide compliance, with chargebacks deducted directly from supplier invoices. Source: Productiv. (The frequently cited Target "5% of COGS, $150 minimum" figure could not be traced to a primary Target page and is not used here.)
SyntheticEvery PO line, the fill rate, the on-time rate, and the weekly delivered value are synthetic, tuned to the structure of an inbound retail book and labelled wherever shown. Only the thresholds (90 / 98 / 95%) and the 3% penalty are real and public. The penalty math is in the page source between marker comments.